Symposium: Modelling Modern Slavery Risk

4 December 2018
Research Innovation

Maria Savel  | Editor - Delta 8.7

In July 2018, the Walk Free Foundation released the latest Global Slavery Index (GSI), which presents estimates for the number of victims of modern slavery in 167 countries. Using data from the Gallup World Poll’s module on modern slavery, which was conducted in 48 countries, individual and country-level risk factors, and data from the GSI Vulnerability Model, Pablo Diego-Rosell, a senior researcher at Gallup, and Jacqueline Joudo-Larsen, the head of research for the Walk Free Foundation, developed a model to generate predicted probabilities of modern slavery on the individual and national levels.

Pablo Diego-Rosell, and Jacqueline Joudo-Larsen  expand upon their methodology in a recent article. Delta 8.7 asked Diego-Rosell and Joudo-Larsen to discuss their innovative methodology for modelling the risk of modern slavery in our first symposium. We also invited four other data science experts—Laura Gauer Bermudez and Shannon Stewart from the Global Fund to End Modern Slavery, Bernard Silverman from the University of Nottingham and Kelly Gleason from Delta 8.7—to discuss the benefits and limitations of their approach. Diego-Rosell and Joudo-Larsen were then given the opportunity to respond to all of the interventions.

All of the contributions to the symposium can be found below, or download a PDF of the full symposium here:

Modelling the Risk of Modern Slavery: An Introduction

Jacqueline Joudo Larsen, Walk Free Foundation
Pablo Diego-Rosell, Gallup
10 December 2018

The Benefits and Limitations of Modelling the Risk of Modern Slavery

Laura Gauer Bermudez and Shannon Stewart, Global Fund to End Modern Slavery
11 December 2018

Demonstrating Risks Is Not the Same as Estimating Prevalence

Bernard W Silverman, Rights Lab, University of Nottingham
12 December 2018

Facing Choices When Modelling Modern Slavery Risk

Kelly Gleason, United Nations University Centre for Policy Research
13 December 2018

Modelling the Risk of Modern Slavery | A Response

Jacqueline Joudo Larsen, Walk Free Foundation
Pablo Diego-Rosell, Gallup
14 December 2018

Symposium: What Works? 5 Lessons Learned on Slavery Risk for Policy Actors

James Cockayne, United Nations University Centre for Policy Research
17 December 2018

Delta 8.7 symposia offer experts the opportunity to discuss technical details of their research and receive commentary from the wider research and anti-slavery community. Researchers are then able to give a response to the previous commentaries received. We hope these symposia will spark further conversations and build the dialogue around research and data in the fight to eradicate forced labour, modern slavery, human trafficking and child labour.

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